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    Scoring the Spectrum: Eurovision 2025’s Regional Highlights

    May 12, 2025 No Comments

    Scoring the Spectrum: Eurovision 2025’s Regional Highlights

    Year after year, the Eurovision Song Contest (ESC) dazzles audiences with a glittering line-up of performers, each vying to harmonize artistic vision with show-stopping stagecraft leaving jurors and televoters in a state of dilemmic despair during the finals. In 2025, the trend iterates through a line-up strongly characterised  by language diversity, meaningful lyrics and a diverse blend of genres ranging from pop, folk, rock and the occasional joke song to ignite a few laughs and giggles. Instead of nominating predictions in the usual fashion, this year invites a different lens: who triumphed within their regional blocs? Here’s a closer look at who I think would be the  best-placed entries from across the Eurovision universe irrespective of whether or not they qualify to the finals.

    Best Placed Big 5 Country: France (Louane – “Maman”)
    Despite fans repeatedly nagging about France’s annual obsession with sending slow, emotionally-charged ballads, it is nonetheless the ballad powerhouse of the ESC. This year is no different and is arguably amongst the best ballads France has ever sent to the contest. “Maman”, sung by Louane, is a  tearjerking ode to maternal strength and the timeless emotions that fill the empty void of meaning that follow a parent’s death. She delivers a raw and cinematic performance that finds power in subtlety allowing diverse audiences to reconcile with its lyrics extending far beyond language barriers. 

    Best Placed Nordic Nation: Sweden (KAJ – “Bara Bara Bastu”)
    While France has remained steadfast in championing its love for emotive ballads, Sweden took a bold detour from its usual formula of English-language pop perfection—delivering something entirely unexpected this year. It is a song where humour is met with harmony in this unexpected Nordic gem. With a tongue-in-cheek tribute to sauna culture, KAJ blends traditional motifs with contemporary production, proving Sweden still knows how to innovate within the Eurovision formula.

    Best Placed Former Yugoslav/Balkan Nation: Albania (Shkodra Elektroni – “Zjerm”)
    Indisputably, Albania stands out as one of the impeccable performances this year that actually carries with it a minuscule chance of winning the entire contest. Zjerm, meaning fire in Albania, is a powerful ballad that explores the complexities of human compassion in a world that is brimming with injustice and oppression in a morally-constrained society. Moreover filtering the songs ontological richness, still leaves us with a captivating song that astutely amalgamates between the sound of tribal folk with electrofolk making it one of Albania’s bets entries into the contest.

    Best Placed Central European Country: Austria (JJ – “Wasted Love”)
    If there was one country that truly deserved to take home the top prize this year, it would be Austria. Performing on a boat battling a boisterous summer storm, Austria’s JJ brings Opera to the ESC stage with hints of pop and EDM creating one of the strongest songs in terms of musical composition and genre mixing.  The song which dramatizes the intense emotions reverberating during a phase of unreciprocated love, illustrates a powerful case of how classical vocal techniques and lyrical depth can be adapted to contemporary music formats making it arguably the most impressive performance of the year.

    Best Placed Benelux Country: Netherlands (Claude – “C’est La Vie”)
    It is a simple song about the beauty of life that still manages to resonate with many. Claude delivered one of the most effortlessly stylish performances of the year with his bilingual bop, seamlessly blending French and Dutch lyrics into a smooth, retro-inspired sound. With vintage flair, charismatic stage presence, and a clever nod to the Netherlands’ multicultural identity, the performance stood out without trying too hard. It was a celebration of linguistic and cultural fusion that felt both nostalgic and fresh—earning applause and solid points across the board.

    Best Placed Baltic State: Estonia (Tommy Cash – “Espresso Macchiato”)
    The surrealist rapper delivered a genre-defying performance that blurred the lines between performance and absurdist theatre. Welcoming this year’s joke entry is Estonia, whose Espresso-Machiatto appears to humorously play with Italian stereotypes through a series of nonsensical lyrics. It was as polarising but it was always unforgettable. Love it or not, the act boldly showcased Estonia’s commitment to creative risk-taking and artistic experimentation on the Eurovision stage.

    Best Placed Caucasus Country: Armenia (Parg – “Survivor”)
    It has been a weak year for the Caucasus Countries and Armenia appears to be the most stand-out performance this year. Parg who usually engages in a stirring fusion of folk instrumentation and cinematic pop, this year entry seems to merge between hard rock and athletic pop.  Parg’s commanding vocals, paired with energetic visuals, created a performance that transcended language and borders. 

    Best Placed Anglophone Islands: Malta(Miriana Conte – “Serving”)
    Malta brought unapologetic sass to the stage with “Serving,” a bold, club-ready anthem dripping with attitude and flair. Miriana Conte commanded attention from the first beat, delivering slick choreography, eye-catching fashion, and undeniable star power. It was a masterclass in pop performance—polished, provocative, and impossible to ignore.

    Eurovision 2025, as accustomed as we are to every year, will see large disappointments and surprises but in doing so, it gave nearly every region a chance to shine. These performances weren’t just songs; they were cultural statements, regional triumphs, and soft power tools disguised in glitter and fog. Eurovision’s power lies not just in picking a winner, but in showcasing the kaleidoscope of Europe’s (And Australia’s) creativity—and this year, it did just that.

    Eurovision Song Contest 2025: Predicted Best Performances (Summary) 

    CATEGORIES & TIEBREAKCountry
    Best Placed Big 5 Country (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, United Kingdom)France (Maman – Louane)
    Best Placed Nordic Nation (Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, Sweden)Sweden (Bara Bara Bastu – KAJ)
    Best Placed Balkan Country (Greece, Albania, Cyprus, Croatia, Montenegro, Serbia, Slovenia) Albania (Zjerm – Shkodra Elektronike)
    Best Placed Central European Country (Austria, Czechia, Poland, Switzerland)Austria (Wasted Love – JJ)
    Best Placed Benelux Country (Belgium, Luxembourg, Netherlands)Netherlands (C’est La Vie – Claude)
    Best Placed Baltic State (Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania)Estonia (Espresso Macchiato – Tommy Cash)
    Best Placed Caucasus Country (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia)Armenia (Survivor – Parg)
    Best Placed Anglophone Islands (Australia, Ireland, Malta)Malta (Serving – Miriana Conte)

     

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    Written by: Mineka
    My Writing Corner Pulse of the World

    The Year with No Front-Runner: My Predictions for the 2025 Oscars

    February 26, 2025 No Comments

     

    The Year with No Front-Runner: My Predictions for the 2025 Oscars

    In contrast to previous years, in which the Oscars followed a predictable trajectory through the emergence of a clear front-runner, the 2025 awards season has been anything but conventional. One leading indicator of the Best Picture Front-Runner is the film that leads the pack with the most nominations which in this year was taken by Jacques Audiard’s “Emilia Pérez”  that scored an impressive 13 nominations. However the film’s course has been marked by controversy following the waves of outrage that erupted due to its issues concerning cultural appropriation and a recent PR disaster involving its lead actress’s offensive tweets that may have curtailed its chances of taking home the top prize. Another leading indicator are precursor wins through award shows like the BAFTA and Golden Globes which foreshadow best picture favourites. This year, while The Brutalist and Emilia Pérez took home the top honours at the Golden Globes, Anora scored at the DGA and PGA awards which was further complicated by Conclave winning the top prizes at the SAG and BAFTA awards. If I were to analogise this year’s Oscar race I would perceive it as a high-stakes poker game -each contender holding strong cards, but none with an unbeatable hand. Like Cardinal Lawrence reiterates in Conclave, as the night approaches, the only certainty is uncertainty. In this article, I present my predictions on who is likely to take home the main prizes the major film categories, specifically with regards to who is predicted to win, who could surprise us and who truly deserves to take home the honour in my humble opinion.

    Acting Awards

    It is a strong year for acting with potential locks for the supporting categories in which Zoe Saldaña from Emilia Pérez and Kieran Culkin from A Real Pain have  swept major precursor awards from the Golden Globes to the BAFTAs and are in a strong position to win within their respective categories. Meanwhile the lead acting categories demonstrate a mixed narrative. While Adrien Brody from The Brutalist was the assumed front-runner, it was not until last week’s SAG awards that Timothée Chalamet from A Complete Unknown pulled off a surprise win that has brought him back to the race. Both actors have delivered powerful performances with Brody’s emotional embodiment of the plight of an immigrant and Chalamet’s characterisation of Bob Dylan demonstrating strenuous commitment. The lead actress category is more convoluted creating a three way race between Demi Moore (The Substance), Mikey Madison (Anora) and Fernanda Torres (I’m Still Here) who each deliver superlative performances. While Demi Moore has a slight edge due to her career narrative of making a comeback performance, the night is up for a surprise in this particular category.

    Technical Awards

    Technical categories like editing, cinematography, sound and visual effects are voted by specialist guilds due to their scientific nature entailing the most rational judgement. This years frontrunners are The Brutalist, Dune Part 2, Wicked and The Substance who each seem to be partially locked across several categories. While Dune Part 2  leads in categories like Sound and Visual Effects, The Brutalist is predicted for a win in Cinematography. Meanwhile, Wicked, could easily pull of a win in Production and Costume Design, if unpressured by Nosferatu or The Brutalist, recognising its almost whimsical and alluring depiction of the land of Oz. One of the most obvious locks however is The Substance winning for Best Makeup and Hairstyling which is easily evident with the raw and rugged brutality of its characters when portrayed in horrific sequences. 

    Musical Awards 

    The past year has been great for Musicals marked by the first time in 55+ years, the academy recognised two musicals, Wicked and Emilia Pérez, in the Best Picture category. However, given Wicked was a cinematic re-enactment of a Broadway musical, its lack of original songs would mean it would have to wait until its sequel in which it would be in a better place to win its musical awards. In terms of original score, the current front-runner is The Brutalist who in a majestic cadence of musical pieces truly uncover the raw emotions, thoughts and states of an immigrant as he navigates the chaos of survival in Modern-Day America. Meanwhile,  for original song, El Mal from Emilia Pérez has captivated awards shows likely due to its invigorating tone and lyrical narrative that serves as a metaphor for the corruption that lingers beneath drug cartels in Mexico. The only way El Mal could loose is if the academy decides to give out a career win to Diane Warren for her song The Journey from Six Triple Eight although the odds of this happening are extremely unlikely. 

    Writing Awards

    The cruciality of screenwriting can never be understated in how they spring characters and ideological themes to life. This year features strong contenders vying for recognition in both the Original and Adapted Screenplay categories. In Adapted Screenplay, Conclave has emerged as a major player, having won major precursors , making it a compelling choice for the Academy. Meanwhile, in the Original Screenplay race, the frontrunners appear to be Anora, having won the recognition of the WGA,  although A Real Pain and The Substance could pull off a possible upset. The contenders for original screenplay feature fast-paced narratives and have introspective layers of creativity that make them truly original. While Conclave seems to be fully locked for adapted screenplay, it remains to see whether Anora or A Real Pain could win the original screenplay category.

    Feature Awards

    Moving from acting, technical, writing and musical awards, the tightest races of this year’s Oscars would play out in the Best Picture, International Film and Animated Feature Film categories. For Animated Feature, it is a two-way race between Flow and The Wild Robot where the Academy is likely to prefer the latter given it is a domestic film and has lead its way through precursor awards like the Annie Awards. Similarly, for International Film, the race is between Emilia Pérez (France) and I’m Still Here (Brazil) for which the latter may win if the controversies surrounding the former would mitigate its chances at winning any awards during the Oscars. Finally, when it comes to Best Picture, it is safe to say that Emilia Pérez has left the race and what is revealed is weak three-way race between The Brutalist, Conclave and Anora for which Anora is an obvious frontrunner given its performance at the DGA and PGA awards. However, unlike Oppenheimer‘s sweep in 2024, this year a single film cannot be betted to take the top prize and it remains to see which film the Academy would crown on the 2nd of March 2025.

    The 97th Oscars: My Predictions for Film Categories

    Award CategoryPredicted WinCould WinShould Win
    Best PictureAnoraConclaveThe Brutalist
    DirectorSean Baker, AnoraBrady Corbet, The BrutalistCoralie Fargeat, The Substance
    ActresssDemi Moore, The SubstanceMikey Madison, AnoraDemi Moore, The Substance
    ActorAdrien Brody, The BrutalistTimothée Chalamet, A Complete UnkownAdrien Brody, The Brutalist
    Supporting ActressZoe Saldaña, Emilia PérezAriana Grande, WickedZoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez
    Supporting ActorKieran Culkin, A Real PainEdward Norton, A Complete UnknownGuy Pearce, The Brutalist
    Writing (Adapted Screenplay)ConclaveNickel BoysConclave
    Writing (Original Screenplay)AnoraA Real PainThe Substance
    International FilmEmilia Pérez (France)I’m Still Here (Brazil)Emilia Pérez (France)
    Animated Feature FilmThe Wild RobotFlowMemoir of a Snail
    Music (Original Score)The BrutalistConclaveThe Brutalist
    Music (Original Song)El Mal – Emilia PérezThe Journey – Six Triple EightMi Camino – Emilia Pérez
    CinematographyThe BrutalistNosferatuThe Brutalist
    SoundDune Part 2WickedDune Part 2
    Production DesignWickedThe BrutalistWicked
    Film EditingAnoraConclaveEmilia Pérez
    Visual EffectsDune Part 2Alien RomulusDune Part 2
    Makeup & HairstylingThe SubstanceWickedThe Substance
    Costume DesignWickedNosferatu

    Wicked

     

     

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    Written by: Mineka
    My Writing Corner Pulse of the World

    The Australian Federal Election 2025: The Key Issues Between Wallets, Safety and Housing

    February 7, 2025 No Comments

    The 2025 Australian Federal Election: The Key Issues Between Wallets, Safety and Housing

     

    Overview of the 2025 Federal Election

    Scheduled to occur before the 25th of July, The 2025 Australian Federal Election is a pivotal democratic process which will determine the composition of Australia’s 150-seat House of Representatives and 40 Senate seats for the next parliamentary term (Jeffrey, 2025). In accordance with Australia’s two-party system, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and the Labor Party will seek re-election, facing a challenging contest against the Liberal/National Coalition led by Peter Dutton. Hence the election also functions as a referendum on the current Albanese government’s performance implying voters would carefully evaluate competing platforms against key issues like economic management, climate change, healthcare and national security. Consequently, the electorate may respond by penalising the Labor Party in favour of the Coalition or rejecting the two-party system altogether by backing independents, teal candidates, and minor parties.

    The 2025 elections also represent a significant shift in voter demographics fuelling the mixed evidence poised by recent polls predicting election outcomes.  According to a YouGov national poll, The Coalition maintains a steady lead with 39% of the primary vote in contrast to Labor’s 32% while net approval ratings for the Party’s leaders have increased by an average of 3.5 points Despite this, recent statistics released by Australia Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showing improving employment and growth outcomes with the employment population ratio rising by 0.2% would fuel further revaluation as the Labor government is provided more talking points regarding economic management (Beamont, 2025). Furthermore, this election would see Gen Z and Millennial voters projected to become a dominant voting force. According to an Australian National University study, these younger voters show a complex political landscape: 67.1% are satisfied with the country’s direction, despite a decline in their confidence in the Albanese government since 2022 (Karvelas, 2025).  It remains to see how younger demographics would respond to the ongoing political environment and vote in the 2025 election.

    While social and economic shifts project uncertainty, there remains a relatively enduring list of economic and social issues that would influence voter sentiment and expedite the outcomes of the 2025 federal election. The Business Council of Australia and Roy Morgan Research have uncovered these issues through in-depth surveys revealing some unanimous themes that are of concern to electors (BCA, 2025; Roy Morgan, 2025). Therefore, the purpose of this article is to articulate on the top five issues that are most likely to dominate the minds of voters as they envision the future of Australia at the ballot box. These issues include cost-of-living pressures, interest rates, crime rates, immigration and the environment.

    The Cost-of-Living Squeeze

    The rising cost-of-living has firmly embedded itself in media discourse, academic research, and the daily conversations of everyday Australians, emerging as a pressing and inescapable challenge in recent years. According to Roy Morgan (2025), keeping daily day-to-day living costs remains a key concern up by 7% since the 2022 election affecting 57% of the electorate. One specific point of concern for consumers are food prices which is indiscriminately affecting Australia’s across several demographics. The latest consumer price. The latest Consumer Price Index data shows food price inflation decreased to 3.0% annually in the December 2024 quarter, down from 3.3% in the previous quarter, but still above the 10-year average of 2.7% (Barret, 2025). Specific items like bread, chicken, and beef continue to be costly, reflecting ongoing pressure on household budgets. While experts predict some stabilisation in grocery prices for 2025, they are unlikely to decrease significantly having compounded further by the price gouging techniques used by Woolworths and Coles in 2024.  Inflationary pressures and the lack of governmental oversight over anti-restrictive trading practices only exacerbate the challenge of cost-of-living.

     Economic analysts suggest that neither major political party has presented a comprehensive plan to significantly improve citizens’ economic well-being. The Coalition focuses on tackling inflation and cost-of-living pressures through eccentric measures like public sector defunding and nuclear energy transition, while Labor’s “Future Made in Australia” plan aims to transition to a net-zero economy with significant investments in renewable energy and industrial innovation (AFR, 2025). Neither of these plans adequately address how these policy positions would enhance citizen wellbeing and mitigate their concerns regarding the cost-of-living pressures. Instead, these plans are politically unpragmatic focusing on the party-specific policy positions thereby misrepresenting voter concerns. These unclear and impractical plans leave voters to weigh campaign promises against complex economic realities which would only complicate voter choices and persist cost-of-living concerns beyond the election.

    The Rate Cut and Affordable Housing

    Building on the strain of cost-of-living pressures, concerns around housing affordability, economic management and monetary policy have surfaced as extended challenges, further complicating the financial landscape for everyday Australians. According to Roy Morgan (2025), this issue has increased marginally in importance, up 2% points to 22% while reducing taxes holds steady at 15%. The latest inflation data for Australia’s December 2024 quarter shows a significant easing in price pressures, increasing the likelihood of an interest rate cut in the near future. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.2% in the quarter, bringing the annual inflation rate down to 2.4% from 2.8% in the previous quarter (Hawson, 2025). These figures have prompted major banks to revise their forecasts, with ANZ now predicting the first rate cut as early as February 2025. Rate-cuts maybe capitalised by Albanese Government as a sign of sound economic management and may instil some confidence amongst undecided voters.

    Despite this, the widespread expectation of a rate-cut complicates Australia’s current cost-of-living challenges as expansionary monetary policy could fuel further inflation. The market currently prices in a 73% probability of a rate cut to 4.1%, driven by easing inflation which dropped to 2.4% in the December 2024 quarter – the lowest since June 2020 (Lefort, 2025). However, these figures are still considerably higher than pre-pandemic levels and so a rate cut would only intensify cost-of-living challenges. Therefore, some economists like Associate Professor Sam Tsiaplias caution against premature rate reductions, despite the overall economic consensus suggesting the RBA will commence an easing cycle, with the exact timing and extent dependent on ongoing economic indicators (Lefort, 2025). Irrespective of the dissonance in expert opinions, voters increasingly perceive rate-cuts as a sign of relief against unaffordable mortgage and rent payments. They unlikely to consider the rippling expansionary impacts of a rate-cut and it remains to see how policy issues concerning housing affordability would be framed by major parties close to the campaigning cycle.

    Crime Rates, Law and Order

    Social issues are equally at play in the 2025 election as public anxiety regarding crime and safety has surged, with law and order becoming a major electoral concern. Roy Morgan (2025) reports that public support for “reducing crime and maintaining law and order” has jumped by 10 percentage points to 23%, the most significant increase for any issue. Despite this rising fear, official crime statistics present a dissonant picture. Simpson and Hurley (2024) note that overall crime in Australia has been declining since 2009, with violent offenses like attempted murders and armed robberies decreasing since 2004. While knives have been the most common weapon used in homicides since 2010, the perception of a growing knife crime epidemic appears to be more influenced by media coverage and political rhetoric than actual trends. In contrast, countries such as the UK and Canada have seen genuine increases in knife crime (Simpson & Hurley, 2024). Therefore, the dichotomy between crime statistics and voter perceptions being fuelled by media and political rhetoric is a more plausible explanation for crime being a major concern in the 2025 election.

    Irrespective of crime statistics however, the political response to crime concerns has intensified between the major parties. Higgins (2025) highlights that Peter Dutton, and the Coalition are positioning themselves as the “tough on crime” party, advocating for harsher youth justice policies, especially in Queensland and the Northern Territory where crime is historically higher than other states. However, experts argue that punitive approaches are ineffective, as data shows detention does not reduce recidivism and disproportionately affects First Nations children (Higgins, 2025). Meanwhile, authorities are also confronting a rise in antisemitic attacks, with 166 reports since December 2024, including 15 serious incidents (Whiteman, 2025). Investigations suggest potential overseas funding, with the Australian Federal Police working alongside the Five Eyes intelligence alliance to determine any international links (Whiteman, 2025). In response, security has been tightened at Jewish sites, and authorities have adopted stronger measures to counter antisemitic hate crimes. Therefore, the rise in antisemitism coupled with Dutton’s crime political framing maybe another explanation behind the increasing concerns of voters regarding crime rates, law and order.

     

    Immigration and Population Growth

    Public concerns over immigration and population growth have also intensified, with Roy Morgan (2025) reporting an 8-percentage-point increase in Australians prioritising this issue in the 2025 Federal Election. This surge aligns with record-high immigration levels and ongoing housing affordability challenges fuelled by migrants. Nicholas (2025) highlights the complexity of public sentiment, noting that while 48% believe immigration levels are too high, there is strong opposition to reducing international student numbers certain of its potent impact in filling labour shortages. A recent survey also found that Australians largely support Pacific migration policies, with 68% favouring easier migration for climate-vulnerable Pacific Islanders over migration from other regions (Nicholas, 2025). These findings suggest that while immigration remains a divisive topic, there is broad recognition of its role in addressing shaping Australia’s workforce and commitment to humanitarian values.

    As Australia approaches the 2025 federal election, immigration is becoming a focal point in political debates. Steyman (2024) reports that Opposition Leader Peter Dutton has pledged to cut migration to ease housing pressures, though experts caution against framing immigration as a scapegoat without addressing its economic implications. Meanwhile, workforce shortages remain a pressing concern, with HR leaders struggling to balance skills gaps and talent acquisition leading to questions regarding the effectiveness of migration at filling in labour shortages (Patten, 2025). Meanwhile, there are also concerns amongst conservative voters regarding the extent to which increasing multiculturalism fuelled by immigration may disorient with Australia’s national identity (Steyman, 2024). These concerns position  immigration as a multidimensional issue intermingled with housing affordability, labour shortages and national identify making it a key issue in the 2025 election that must balance between the needs of various voting demographics.

    The Environment and Climate Change

    Finally, it comes down to environmental policies and climate change which unlike previous years demonstrate a mixed narrative. Public concern for environmental issues has declined, with Roy Morgan (2025) reporting a 9-percentage-point drop in the importance of “global warming and climate change,” now at 23%. This shift comes despite the Australian government’s continued commitment to ambitious climate targets. In contrast to Trump’s withdrawal of the US from the Paris Agreement, Climate Change and Energy Minister Chris Bowen reaffirmed Australia’s dedication towards the agreement, aiming for a 43% emissions reduction by 2030 and net zero by 2050 (Jervis-Bardy, 2025). Bowen emphasized that Australia’s climate policies are driven by national interests and economic opportunities rather than the actions of other nations. He highlighted the country’s progress in renewable energy and its ambition to become a clean energy leader. Additionally, Australia remains committed to international climate cooperation, including its bid to co-host COP31 with Pacific nations, stressing the urgency of collective global action to combat climate change (Jervis-Bardy, 2025).

    Despite these commitments, environmental policy has become a contentious issue in the lead-up to the 2025 federal election. Ritchie et al. (2025) report that Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s decision to abandon proposed reforms to Australia’s 25-year-old environmental laws has sparked criticism, particularly from environmental groups and the Greens. The reforms, originally recommended by the Samuel Review in 2020, aimed to establish national environmental standards under an independent regulator. Although 75% of Australians support stronger environmental protections, the government cited insufficient parliamentary support for the changes (Ritchie et al., 2025). Meanwhile, Opposition Leader Peter Dutton has argued that the proposed reforms would harm the economy showing no signs of support for environmental and climate change policies apart from ambitious vision for nuclear energy. Therefore, although voter sentiments for climate change may have declined, it still remains a key issue that would influence certain demographics who may prioritise their long-term vision for Australia over short-term reliefs.

    Conclusion

    The 2025 Australian federal election is shaping up to be defined by economic pressures, social anxieties, and shifting political narratives. Cost-of-living remains the dominant concern, with inflationary pressures, interest rate movements, and economic policies influencing voter sentiment. Crime and law enforcement debates, fuelled by political rhetoric and media coverage, are amplifying public fears, while immigration remains a contentious issue linked to housing affordability, labour shortages, and national identity. Meanwhile, climate change, though declining in perceived importance, continues to divide political parties, with Labor focusing on renewables and the Coalition promoting nuclear energy. The absence of clear, pragmatic solutions from major parties leaves voters facing a complex decision. With economic instability and social concerns at the forefront, the election will likely be determined by which party can best convince Australians of their ability to deliver real, tangible improvements to their daily lives.

    REFERENCES

    Barrett, J. (2025, January 30). High food prices becoming ingrained in Australian economy, analyst warns. The Guardian; The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/jan/30/high-food-prices-becoming-ingrained-in-australian-economy-analyst-warns

    Beaumont, A. (2025, January 20). Coalition still ahead in latest polls, but some promising news for Labor. The Conversation. https://theconversation.com/coalition-still-ahead-in-latest-polls-but-some-promising-news-for-labor-246544

    Business Council of Australia. (2025). Australia’s priorities for the 2025 Federal Election. Business Council of Australia. https://www.bca.com.au/australia_s_priorities_for_the_2025_federal_election

    Hawkins, J. (2025, January 29). Lower inflation in the December quarter boosts chances of an interest rate cut. The Conversation. https://theconversation.com/lower-inflation-in-the-december-quarter-boosts-chances-of-an-interest-rate-cut-246987

    Higgins, I. (2025, February 5). Peter Dutton’s law and order campaign makes local crime a national election issue. Abc.net.au; ABC News. https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-02-05/peter-dutton-coalition-tough-on-crime-youth/104899920

    Jeffrey, D. (2025, January 28). “Read the tea leaves”: When will the next federal election be held? @9News; 9News. https://www.9news.com.au/national/federal-election-2025-when-is-it-earliest-latest-dates-double-dissolution-explained/a8dec667-4d33-46d6-b85a-ae4ea2b88b4b

    Jervis-Bardy, D. (2025, January 23). Australia “not giving up” on Paris climate agreement despite Trump withdrawal, Bowen says. The Guardian; The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/jan/23/chris-bowen-not-giving-up-on-paris-agreement-despite-donald-trumps-moves

    Karvelas, P. (2024, November 25). Federal election 2025 will be the first vote where Gen Z and Millennials outnumber Baby Boomers at the ballot box. Abc.net.au; ABC News. https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-11-25/election-2025-gen-z-millennial-outnumber-baby-boomers/104641230

    Lefort, C. (2025, February 5). RBA interest rates: Economists predict Reserve Bank will hold rates on February 18 as Donald Trump’s tariffs create uncertainty. Australian Financial Review. https://www.afr.com/markets/debt-markets/these-five-economists-make-a-bold-prediction-on-next-rate-cut-20250204-p5l9gq

    Nicholas, J. (2025, February 4). Australians want less migration but oppose cutting international student numbers, study finds. The Guardian; The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/feb/04/australians-want-less-migration-but-oppose-cutting-international-student-numbers-study-finds

    Patten, S. (2025, January 30). Telstra, Westpac and ASX HR bosses discuss their challenges for 2025. Australian Financial Review. https://www.afr.com/work-and-careers/workplace/the-workforce-challenges-keeping-these-hr-bosses-up-at-night-20241206-p5kwgy

    Ritchie, E., Jaana Dielenberg, & Burnett, P. (2025, February 3). Labor’s dumping of Australia’s new nature laws means the environment is shaping as a key 2025 election issue. The Conversation. https://theconversation.com/labors-dumping-of-australias-new-nature-laws-means-the-environment-is-shaping-as-a-key-2025-election-issue-248872

    Roy Morgan. (2025). Top 10 Issues Shaping the 2025 Federal Election: Cost-of-living and Crime on the Rise, Climate Change Fades – Roy Morgan Research. Roymorgan.com. https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9797-most-important-issues-facing-australia-january-2025

    Shteyman, J. (2024, November 8). Immigration debate looms as flashpoint in election. Canberratimes.com.au; The Canberra Times. https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/8814269/immigration-debate-looms-as-flashpoint-in-election/

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    Project 2025: Economic Insights & Criticisms of the Conservative Promise

    July 22, 2024 No Comments

    Project 2025: Economic Insights & Criticisms of the Conservative Promise

    As the global spotlight intensifies on the impending US Presidential Elections of 2024, profound uncertainties loom over the potential transition from democratic to republican leadership, raising pivotal inquiries about its implications for the trajectory of the American economy, its social fabric and its geopolitical footprint amidst an era defined by pervasive global conflicts and economic downturns. Lodged by the Heritage foundation in 2022, The Mandate for Leadership or Project 2025, as its commonly called, is a 900-page document put together by more than 400 writers, that delivers some explicit insights on the implications of such a political transformation in 2025 and beyond. With elections inching closer, discussions and debates regarding the Project’s plans have erupted amongst academic communities with scepticism and cynicism being a common theme. In this article, I attempt to briefly summarise the essence of the project, it key controversies and criticisms and the top 10 insights I find the most intriguing from the project’s economics section.

    The Essence of Project 2025

    The Mandate for Leadership or Project 2025 is a 900-page document that entails a comprehensive compendium of conservative policies that thereby encapsulates the future implications of America under the new republican administration it expects to form in 2025.    Amalgamated, by a group of policy-makers, law-givers and economists tied to the Heritage Foundation, the documents resonate with the thinking tanks of conservative ideology and aims to propose policies, legislative changes and restructurings that are intended at advancing USA’s political structure to suits its growing economic and social needs that in their view have been disoriented by the current administration.

    Primarily, Project 2025 is structured on four fundamental pillars that helps streamline of the essence of its Writer’s agenda and have been summarised below:

    • Pillar I: Governance Framework – Establishes a consensus on how major federal agencies should be governed and identifies areas of disagreement for the incoming President to decide upon including key economic and social policy changes.
    • Pillar II: Personnel Database –Candidates create professional profiles for review by coalition members. Recommendations are collated and shared with the President-elect’s team to streamline appointments.
    • Pillar III: Presidential Administration Academy –Online educational system taught by coalition experts. Provides newcomers with an understanding of government operations and roles. Offers in-person seminars for advanced training of senior leadership.
    • Pillar IV: The 180-Day Playbook- Forms agency teams and drafts transition plans that the next republican president is expected to implement within the first 180 days held in office.

    While the pillars themselves are foundational to the purpose of Project 2025, they do not form the distinct sections of the document are only inferred upon its 30 chapters. These chapters lay out a myriad of clear and concrete policy recommendations for White House offices, Cabinet departments, Congress, and other federal agencies. These policy recommendations have been meticulously crafted to resonate with the ideological tenets of conservative politics. Moreover, they are underpinned by four overarching objectives that collectively embody the individuals promised that make up the ‘Conservative Promise,’ which have been declared with precision in the list below:

    • Restore the family as the centrepiece of American life and protect our children: Focus on policies and initiatives aimed at strengthening family units and ensuring the well-being and safety of children within society.
    • Dismantle the administrative state and return self-governance to the American people: Advocate for reducing bureaucratic control and empowering individuals and local communities to make decisions that affect their lives.
    • Defend our nation’s sovereignty, borders, and bounty against global threats: Prioritize national security measures to safeguard borders, protect American interests, and counteract external threats to sovereignty.
    • Secure our God-given individual rights to live freely—what our Constitution calls “the Blessings of Liberty”: Ensure that constitutional freedoms and liberties are protected, allowing individuals to live their lives without undue government interference.

    As the promises above underscores, much of the economic, social and governance polices detailed in the document are designed to streamline the President’s thought processes to focus firmly on the foundational moral and economic challenges that USA faces in its current day and age. It is their belief that by restoring America’s moral values, the success of conservative policies would blossom which they believe was resonant during the Reagan Era where right-wing politics saw its successful peak. Despite some of its ideas sounding affirming on paper, Project 2025 was heavily subjected to criticism and scepticism even amongst populists’ right voters triggering wide spread debate. Th followings sections detail the projects key controversies and criticisms.

    The Criticisms of Project 2025

    According to former US Secretary Robert Reich, a significant source of criticism surrounding Project 2025, widely shared among academics, stems from the constraints it imposes on American social policy as well as its plans to foster what seem like a Christian nationalistic democracy. For instance, the document outlines strategies aimed at gradually dismantling pro-abortion laws, reducing subsidies to medical institutions conducting abortion research and contraception, and advocating for the withdrawal of abortion pills from the US market. In the realm of Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI), the project proposes eliminating what it terms as “Woke Propaganda” from laws and federal regulations. This includes potentially penalizing the extensive use of terms like “sexual orientation,” “diversity, equity, and inclusion,” “gender equality,” and “reproductive rights” in educational settings and media. Additionally, Project 2025 advocates for expanding domestic oil drilling while terminating environmental agencies and withdrawing from international agreements such as the Paris Agreement and the UN’s 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. These social policies are indicative of Project 2025’s strong advocation to align the USA with the Judeo-Christian Ideals the conservatives form the foundation of the nations moral values. However, inherently rooted in these polices is the rejection of female reproductive wellbeing, restriction of freedom of speech and total disregard for the environmental and external costs caused by the economy on human wellbeing.

    Project 2025 opens a window onto how the modern American conservative movement would shape the nations future and the world it encircles. According to Senior Researcher, Emma Shortis, the proposal features frequent discussion on the restructuring and dismantling of several federal bodies and agencies including the CIA and Export-Import Bank. While these initiatives maybe consistent with right-wing ideology that seek to shrink the government, many seem to speculate that these recommendations are part of a broader plan to restore the Unitary Executive Theory which would ultimately disequilibrate the distribution of power between the 3 branches giving the president an unchecked degree of power and control that some critics argue is resonant with fascist principles. Critics of Project 2025 argue against this centralization of executive power, citing risks such as potential abuse of authority and reduced democratic representation. They contend that decentralized federal systems better uphold democratic principles by ensuring diverse regional input and maintaining checks and balances through transparent oversight. While centralization may streamline decision-making, it could compromise accountability and resilience in responding to diverse societal needs. Moreover, critics warn of the susceptibility to policy capture by special interests, potentially undermining public interest and democratic governance.

    Beyond debates over social policy and political governance lies the intriguing interaction between Project 2025 and Donald Trump’s 2024 presidential campaign. As the leading Republican candidate, Trump’s potential victory, supported by statistical evidence from electoral polls and surveys, positions him at the forefront of shaping future conservative agendas. One might assume Trump’s campaign would naturally align with the ideals and plans outlined in Project 2025, given his historical ties to the Heritage Foundation. However, Trump has consistently distanced himself from the project, a stance that has sparked controversy. In a post on Truth-Social following a presidential debate, Trump stated, “I have no idea who is behind it,” and criticized aspects of Project 2025 as “ridiculous and abysmal.” This denialism has fuelled speculation about whether Trump’s disavowal is a political tactic aimed at safeguarding his campaign against potential attacks from Democratic opponents who might paint Project 2025 as extremist right-wing politics. According to Washington Post reporter Patrick Svitech, Trump’s strategy appears to be a calculated move to protect his public image. By disavowing any association with Project 2025, he may mitigate criticism and maintain broader appeal among voters. However, whether Trump’s denials are genuine or strategic remains uncertain. Looking ahead, the question looms whether Trump’s potential victory would indeed see the implementation of Project 2025’s ambitious agenda starting from January 2025. Only time will reveal the extent of Trump’s actual involvement with Project 2025 and how it might shape future policy directions if he assumes office.

    The US Economy Under Project 2025: 3 Insights

    The economic section of Project 2025 outlines a comprehensive agenda focused on revitalising economic policies to benefit ordinary Americans and strengthen national sovereignty. It critiques decades of elite-driven governance that neglected securing borders, outsourced manufacturing and mismanaged the federal budget. While aiming to correct these failure, Project 2025 seems to be emphasising a return to foundational principles of securing individual rights and fostering free enterprise through economic policy. The discussion spans diverse viewpoints on trade policy, advocating either for minimal government intervention to promote free trade and economic growth, as argued by Kent Lassman, or for a more protective stance to safeguard American manufacturing and defence capabilities against global competition, as advocated by Peter Navarro. Beyond trade, debates include the role of institutions like the Export-Import Bank and the Department of Commerce in shaping economic strategy, reflecting broader concerns about regulatory efficiency, strategic economic planning, and defending against international economic threats.

    Based on my personal analyses and engagement of the pages dedicated to this section of the document, there are certain economic proposal and policies that are of particular interest which I believe would be of most use for debate and discussion by the wider academic community. To simplify my findings, I have based my analysis on the assumption that three key functions of economic management for any federal administration are as follows:

    1. Provision of Public Services – Providing essential services and other public as well as merit good that maybe under-provided or disincentivised by the private sector. It also concerns decisions regarding privatisation, nationalisation, mergers and acquisitional s well as strategic choices to dismantle, distribution or diversify public sector service between the private sector.
    2. Regulation and Oversight – Designing and Intervening in markets when they fail to align with direct and indirect regulation as well as implementing new regulation and oversight measure to prevent market failures and unfair outcomes. This extends to regulating foreign investments opportunities, both inward and outwards, and aligning them with national security interests as well as economic interests.
    3. Economic Growth & Stabilisation – Leveraging the use monetary and fiscal polices to stimulate economic growth and stabilise parts of the economy like prices and exchange rates as well as dynamically responding exogenous and internal shocks within the business cycle.

    I have presented case that aligns with each function mostly of beneficial used with a brief description and evaluation of its implication on the fulfilment of USA’s macroeconomic objectives.

    Provision of Public Services: The Case of the NOAA

    Right-wing politics, viewed through an economic lens, places a strong emphasis on reducing the government’s role in the provision of services, often favouring the privatisation of these services. The concept of shrinking the government, which aligns with Republican policies, ensures that privatization proposals are a recurring theme in Project 2025. One of the most ambitious of these plans involves restructuring and reallocating the functions of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), a federal institution comprising six offices dedicated to oceanic, atmospheric, satellite, and meteorological data analysis and research. These, offices not only conduct research but also provide structured information to promote environmental stewardship within the private sector. However, the authors of Project 2025 argue that this represents an inefficient use of federal funds, consuming over 50% of the Department of Commerce’s budget without delivering observable improvements in environmental efficiency.

    Rather than dismantling NOAA entirely, Project 2025 proposes a comprehensive review and redistribution of its functions between the private and public sectors. For example, it has been suggested that meteorological services be fully privatised, atmospheric research be downsized, and the environmental surveying functions be transferred to the U.S. Coast Guard. Once most services in the field are privatized, the project also focuses on plans to enhance competition by introducing innovation prizes and encouraging the entry of small businesses into the research industry. This approach to commercialize NOAA and its functions, rather than completely dismantling it, aims to enhance efficiency by leveraging private sector capabilities for environmental research services and reallocating environmental stewardship roles to a more suitable public agency. In the long run, through further privatization and responsibility transfer, not only will the cost-efficiency and economic sustainability of these organizations be maintained, but greater environmental sustainability is also expected. This will be encouraged through the innovative and competitive environment fostered by the NOAA.

    Regulation & Oversight: The Case of Chinese FDI

    Project 2025 proposes a strategic realignment of the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) to address current geopolitical threats, particularly from China. Key initiatives include developing a transparent mitigation monitoring program, publishing a penalty schedule for CFIUS violations, and advocating for legislative amendments to cover Chinese greenfield investments. Additionally, the plan suggests making the Department of Defence (DOD) a co-chair of CFIUS alongside the Treasury to balance corporate and national security interests. There is also a recommendation for creating a joint school of financial warfare with DOD to enhance the U.S.’s ability to use financial strategies and instruments against geopolitical threats although the details of this have not been specified. Lastly, Treasury is urged to scrutinize U.S. outward foreign direct investment in China, particularly those enhance China’s technology, research innovation and partnerships with state-sector organisation that could be exploited against the USA’s economic interests.

    Despite the ambiguity of the proposed measures, it is certain that the implementation of these plans aims to strategically enhance the U.S.’s national security by ensuring a more balanced and transparent CFIUS process that prioritizes security over corporate interests. The proposed penalties and monitoring would deter violations and ensure compliance, while closing the greenfield investment loophole that would protect critical U.S. assets from Chinese state control. Elevating the DOD’s role in CFIUS would ensure national security concerns are adequately represented while the financial warfare school would prepare the U.S. to effectively use financial tools in geopolitical conflicts. Despite the expected impact the Project proposes, it fails to consider what maybe the global response to these measures especially considering increased FDI screening and the development of financial warfare. Undoubtedly countries could retaliate against these measures by implanting similar controls on outward US FDI exacerbating further international disputes. The Project would have to consider the contingency plans that would be set in place in the event the reception of its security plans is unfavourable among international investors. Nevertheless, these changes are expected to bolster economic and national security, reduce vulnerabilities to Chinese economic statecraft, and promote a more secure and resilient economic environment.

    Economic Growth & Stabilisation: The Case of Tax Policy

    Project 2025 recognises the powerful impacts of tax policy on economic outcomes and has therefore emphasises the Treasury to reform tax legislation centred around the promotion of prosperity defined by greater work, savings and investment incentives. Primarily, Project 2025’s proposal to achieve a simplified tax system that reduces marginal tax rates and corporate costs of capital while enlarging the tax base in order to tax-induced economic distortions. Furthermore, the document defines the principles of an idea tax policy as one that prioritises revenue for a limited government while minimising its impact on the family and core institutions of US civil society. It also recognises the importance of consistent policy which additionally involved ensuring that special privileges are less likely to be granted. Current US Tax policies are inconsistent with the Project’s principles and therefore in order to reform tax policy effectively, The Treasury has been advised to start implementing tax reforms immediately once the new administration takes office. It is expected that the new tax reforms would be of benefit to most economic participants with businesses and families being at the centre of policy-making. The following list is an exhaust summary of the technical specificities Project 2025 proposes with regards to Tax reformation:

    Simplified Two-Rate Individual Tax System:

    • 15% and 30% tax brackets.
    • Eliminate most deductions, credits, and exclusions.
    • 30% bracket starts near the Social Security wage base for a nearly flat tax on wage income beyond the standard deduction.

    Corporate Income Tax Reduction:

    • Reduce corporate tax rate to 18%.
    • Tax capital gains and qualified dividends at 15%.
    • Immediate expensing for capital expenditures.
    • Index capital gains taxes for inflation.

    Repeal Tax Increases from Inflation Reduction Act:

    • Remove book minimum tax, stock buyback excise tax, coal excise tax, reinstated Superfund tax, and excise taxes on drug manufacturers.

    Eliminate Recent Subsidies and Tax Breaks:

    • Repeal credits and tax breaks for green energy companies from Subtitle D of the Inflation Reduction Act.

    CONLCUSION

    In summary, Project 2025 presents a comprehensive and ambitious plan to reshape American governance, social policy, and economic strategy under a new Republican administration. The project’s four pillars provide a structured approach to governance, personnel management, education, and policy implementation. While the proposed policies aim to address perceived shortcomings of the current administration and restore conservative values, they have sparked significant debate and criticism. Critics highlight concerns about the potential rollback of social policies, the centralization of executive power, and the implications for international relations and environmental sustainability. The economic section, with its focus on tax reform, regulation of foreign investments, and privatization of public services, offers thought-provoking insights but also raises questions about the broader impacts on American society and the global economy. As the 2024 elections approach, the implementation and reception of Project 2025’s proposals will be closely watched, determining their actual influence on the future of the United States.

    REFERENCES

    Reich, R. (2024, July 8). We should all be terrified of Trump’s Project 2025. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/article/2024/jul/06/trump-project-2025-robert-reich

    Svitek, P. (2024) Trump tries to distance himself from project 2025 plan – The Washington Post, Trump tries to distance himself from Project 2025 plan. Available at: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/05/trump-project-2025-disavowal

    Svitek, P. (2024) Trump tries to distance himself from project 2025 plan – The Washington Post, Trump tries to distance himself from Project 2025 plan. Available at: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/05/trump-project-2025-disavowal/ (Accessed: 17 July 2024).

    Roberts, K. and Dans, P. (2024) Mandate for leadership: The conservative promise, Mandate for leadership: The Conservative Promise. Available at: https://static.project2025.org/2025_MandateForLeadership_FULL.pdf (Accessed: 17 July 2024).

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